GCOP
11-08 03:23 PM
The main reason for EB-3 Problem is LIFE ACT (245i act of year 2000) which allowed approximately 345,000 people to file for Adjustment of Status (Green cards). There was no separate quota approved by congress for these applicants, which resulted in using the regular quota ( limited 3000 + numbers of EB-3 India) since year 2001 to 2008...... and still in progress.
As per the DOS data, Total of 111,876 EB immigrant visas have been issued to EB-3 (India) from year 2001 to 2008, BUT EB-3 (India) Priority Date is still in year April 2001 (as most of these visa numbers were/ are being issued to 245i applicants and their relatives at US Consulates abroad.
We have no problem with 245i applicants or their relatives BUT those visa numbers should not be counted against the EB Visa quota.
As per the DOS data, Total of 111,876 EB immigrant visas have been issued to EB-3 (India) from year 2001 to 2008, BUT EB-3 (India) Priority Date is still in year April 2001 (as most of these visa numbers were/ are being issued to 245i applicants and their relatives at US Consulates abroad.
We have no problem with 245i applicants or their relatives BUT those visa numbers should not be counted against the EB Visa quota.
wallpaper sad quotes about not being
go_gc_way
06-20 03:06 PM
I think too that it may not become current.
But with new year Quota released in Oct (October?), how much it will move forward?
--> 2003 March ? or 2004 Jan?
When Retrogression introduced last year, for India the PD if I remember correctly was in 99 which now has moved to 2003 Jan, this I think because of addition of unused numbers?
Why would it not move an year by October this time , yes gravity of the situation .. please explain more clearly with numbers.
Thanks in advance for looking in to my request.
But with new year Quota released in Oct (October?), how much it will move forward?
--> 2003 March ? or 2004 Jan?
When Retrogression introduced last year, for India the PD if I remember correctly was in 99 which now has moved to 2003 Jan, this I think because of addition of unused numbers?
Why would it not move an year by October this time , yes gravity of the situation .. please explain more clearly with numbers.
Thanks in advance for looking in to my request.
paulcao1978
01-20 10:16 PM
Here is the post from immigrationpotal stating the final verdict of IV. I think it might be true. Look at the post by NYC8300.
http://immigrationportal.com/showthread.php?t=235710&page=3&pp=15&highlight=drop
Any inputs from IV? If IV has dropped the goal without even letting us know about it, I think I am punked.
http://immigrationportal.com/showthread.php?t=235710&page=3&pp=15&highlight=drop
Any inputs from IV? If IV has dropped the goal without even letting us know about it, I think I am punked.
2011 Not being enough. Not good
kumar_77
06-15 09:16 AM
I have been a contributing for a long time and i will do to do so , there are lot of people still struck in back log , who supported us from the beginning , and more over we are filing 485 ....we still have a long way to go remember..
kumar
kumar
more...
.jpg "sad quotes about pain and")
samcam
05-19 11:41 AM
Welcome to our newest member matex... 3874 and counting...
ushkand
08-14 11:48 AM
I have an LUD of 08/05/2007 on my 2006 approved I-140. I was hoping, like so many of us, that it meant CIS was entering my 485 in the system. But looking at the trend, it seems like CIS may only be gathering data on how many approved I-140 are currently in the system and make projections/plans for future work load etc.
more...
psychman
04-01 07:28 PM
Also, regarding this matter, how would I set this up if I wanted a rotate transform to happen to an Image object when a context menu item is clicked; not the image itself? I have been playing around with a setup in which I cast the sender as an Image and then using two If statements to check which context menu item was clicked. I will then apply either a clockwise or counter clockwise rotate transform based on which context menu item was clicked. The problem I am running into is how to write the condition for the If statement, undoubtedly due to my lack of C# experience. The following does not work because it says "click" can only be on the left of a += or -=. Here is the code:
//code from other private method
...myImage.MouseRightButtonUp += new MouseButtonEventHandler(myImage_MouseRightButtonUp );
void myImage_MouseRightButtonUp(object sender, MouseButtonEventArgs e)
{
Image clickedImage = (Image)sender;
if (contextRotateCW.Click == true)
{
//code to rotate "clickedImage" clockwise
}
if (contextRotateCCW.Click == true)
{
//code to rotate "clickedImage" counter clockwise
}
}
//code from other private method
...myImage.MouseRightButtonUp += new MouseButtonEventHandler(myImage_MouseRightButtonUp );
void myImage_MouseRightButtonUp(object sender, MouseButtonEventArgs e)
{
Image clickedImage = (Image)sender;
if (contextRotateCW.Click == true)
{
//code to rotate "clickedImage" clockwise
}
if (contextRotateCCW.Click == true)
{
//code to rotate "clickedImage" counter clockwise
}
}
2010 Not being enough. Not good
anujcb
06-04 05:59 PM
I guess its time for us to dust off the good 'ol case status scanner from the shelf and start scanning starting from June 1. I remeber there was a website which used to do this, type in the last some digits of the wac/lin number and it will say the status. Do any of you guys knoew the website?
Also please update the thread if anyone got the receipt notices for june filing, i know its a little too early even for peope who have file on june 1
Do any of you know which service center the lawyer will be applying to if the benefeciary is in california? is it still CSE or did it changed to NSE?
Thanks..
Also please update the thread if anyone got the receipt notices for june filing, i know its a little too early even for peope who have file on june 1
Do any of you know which service center the lawyer will be applying to if the benefeciary is in california? is it still CSE or did it changed to NSE?
Thanks..
more...
puskeygadha
06-02 09:11 PM
there is no 10,000 source but i heard people say that..
are you also their client..are you audited..my audit is on business
necessity and recruitment..
does this mean we are screwed...or will they do something..they are
big law firm..why would we suffer when one lawyer in the big firm makes
stupid mistake
are you also their client..are you audited..my audit is on business
necessity and recruitment..
does this mean we are screwed...or will they do something..they are
big law firm..why would we suffer when one lawyer in the big firm makes
stupid mistake
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lost_in_gc_land
02-02 03:39 AM
Yes you can fedex the AP to india and yes she can use it while coming back if needed. I got this from USCIS level 2 immigration officer.:D
Hello,
I would like to check with you if you know of someone who has used an AP that was approved while that person had left the US and received it by mail/fedex/etc. to get back in the US. I am in a situation where my H1 stamping is in security/background check and it been that way for over 75 days. I have an AP that was approved and mailed to me but I have been told by my lawyer that it is not ok to use AP or atleast without risk of not being allowed entry
Hello,
I would like to check with you if you know of someone who has used an AP that was approved while that person had left the US and received it by mail/fedex/etc. to get back in the US. I am in a situation where my H1 stamping is in security/background check and it been that way for over 75 days. I have an AP that was approved and mailed to me but I have been told by my lawyer that it is not ok to use AP or atleast without risk of not being allowed entry
more...
crystal
08-16 05:14 PM
ITIN is not meant for work. You cannot substitute ITIN for SSN. As I posted before you can apply for SSN and start working with out waiting for SSN.
hot sad quotes about pain and
ImmiRam
09-13 04:57 PM
I am sure you are well aquinted with IV and EB process.
You proudly keep profile incomplete....
Post a "noval" idea about law suit in first few posts (most likely you have another IV handle too).....
....
still wondering why you are so "famous"....
The rudeness some of the members display here amazez me...Yes, my profile is incomplete, but I still went ahead and made donation...not that I a, bragging but it speaks about commitment. Since my profile is incomplete, it gives you right to be Rude ? And why cannot I post about lawsuits in first few posts ? I dont get what you are trying to convey. Am I missing something here? I thought we are all professionals here, guess I am wrong.
You proudly keep profile incomplete....
Post a "noval" idea about law suit in first few posts (most likely you have another IV handle too).....
....
still wondering why you are so "famous"....
The rudeness some of the members display here amazez me...Yes, my profile is incomplete, but I still went ahead and made donation...not that I a, bragging but it speaks about commitment. Since my profile is incomplete, it gives you right to be Rude ? And why cannot I post about lawsuits in first few posts ? I dont get what you are trying to convey. Am I missing something here? I thought we are all professionals here, guess I am wrong.
more...
house sad quotes about not being good enough. I#39;m not smart enough
thunderbird
08-21 03:33 PM
I have the similar situation, worrying about not getting receipt before expiration date. I called USCIS, the lady told me that as long as I filed before the expiration day, I'm okay to work. If someone else could call USCIS, get different people answer this question, and confirm this, that will be helpful.
tattoo tattoo sad love quotes wallpapers sad quotes about not being good enough.
nixone
09-18 05:59 PM
Two IDIOTS gave me red dots and these comments:
--------------
H-1B and working overtime 08-21-2008 11:31 PM ask the doctors who work more than 80 hrs a week
H-1B and working overtime 08-21-2008 09:58 PM Who gave youa H1 Visa, you dumbo?
--------------
I do not understand what was wrong with my question here. I did not know there are idiots roam around this forum and give people RED DOT for no reason. I wish there is a way to know who gave those dots and comments. Get a life you idiots.
--------------
H-1B and working overtime 08-21-2008 11:31 PM ask the doctors who work more than 80 hrs a week
H-1B and working overtime 08-21-2008 09:58 PM Who gave youa H1 Visa, you dumbo?
--------------
I do not understand what was wrong with my question here. I did not know there are idiots roam around this forum and give people RED DOT for no reason. I wish there is a way to know who gave those dots and comments. Get a life you idiots.
more...
pictures not being enough. not good
gcwait2007
06-28 04:39 PM
You need last 2 paystubs and one of them is issued within last 30 days.
dresses sad quotes about not being good enough. The world is sad enough
ganguteli
06-19 05:09 PM
You made a good point...US media highlights issues based on what it likes and presents it to the people the way they want it to be. US hates 'Ahmedinejad' so they are highighting the opponents..as if the opponent would have been any different for the US..
Do you think Indian Media is fair and impartial?
They do not have the courage to criticize Sonia Gandhi and family?
Do you think Indian Media is fair and impartial?
They do not have the courage to criticize Sonia Gandhi and family?
more...
makeup sad quotes about not being
vin13
06-19 06:42 PM
Guys,
Speaking about something that is not immigration related is not going to help us here. Please keep this forum for immigration related issues.
Speaking about something that is not immigration related is not going to help us here. Please keep this forum for immigration related issues.
girlfriend sad quotes about not being
amitkhare77
01-30 10:00 AM
please see my response
Here's a brief background:
1. Have EB3 from this company as a Software Engineer 15-1031
2. Have a MS + 3 years PRIOR to joining this company
3. Plan NOT to use experience gained from the current company for EB2
Can someone please help me with which approach will have the highest probability of success with PERM?
1. What title should I use? Since I already have a Software Engineer as EB3, should I be using an Software Analyst title? Which one has better chances of success?
Title really does not matter, it's the Job Requirement, Desc, Salary and how well your profile match with the Job requirement. My EB 3 was filled as Software Engineer Level 1 in 2006. My EB2 labor was filled (different company) as Software Engineer (Level III). Labor was approved in 4 weeks back in Nov 2010
2. What experience should I use? Should it be MS + 1 OR MS + 2 OR MS + 2 with alternative BS + 5? My understanding is that once we add BS+5 as alternate, the wage will be pretty high. I make 90k in IL.
I think best option is to ask your company attorney. I am not sure if you can make s decision what you want to use. The company and the lawyer will decide what is best for them to prove for a Job during I-140. most probably I have seen Lawyers prefer to go with MS + 1 yr experience. Mine was BS+5 yrs exp I live in NOVA and prevailing wages were 76 K. I make much more than that ;)
3. Since I am not using experience from current employer, is it okay if the job description is almost the same as the job description for EB3? (I need to provide experience letters from my previous company and there shouldn't be a discrepency with the ones I have submitted for EB3)
You can not use this experience anyway ;) Job description can be similar but more like a senior guy's work. i.e. Consult with customers, PM and team members on project status, proposals and technical issues (i.e. software system design and
maintenance), Effectively guide the team, collaborate with other team members and
provide quality software solutions to accommodate business needs.
I hope this helps
Any help is really really appreciated.
Here's a brief background:
1. Have EB3 from this company as a Software Engineer 15-1031
2. Have a MS + 3 years PRIOR to joining this company
3. Plan NOT to use experience gained from the current company for EB2
Can someone please help me with which approach will have the highest probability of success with PERM?
1. What title should I use? Since I already have a Software Engineer as EB3, should I be using an Software Analyst title? Which one has better chances of success?
Title really does not matter, it's the Job Requirement, Desc, Salary and how well your profile match with the Job requirement. My EB 3 was filled as Software Engineer Level 1 in 2006. My EB2 labor was filled (different company) as Software Engineer (Level III). Labor was approved in 4 weeks back in Nov 2010
2. What experience should I use? Should it be MS + 1 OR MS + 2 OR MS + 2 with alternative BS + 5? My understanding is that once we add BS+5 as alternate, the wage will be pretty high. I make 90k in IL.
I think best option is to ask your company attorney. I am not sure if you can make s decision what you want to use. The company and the lawyer will decide what is best for them to prove for a Job during I-140. most probably I have seen Lawyers prefer to go with MS + 1 yr experience. Mine was BS+5 yrs exp I live in NOVA and prevailing wages were 76 K. I make much more than that ;)
3. Since I am not using experience from current employer, is it okay if the job description is almost the same as the job description for EB3? (I need to provide experience letters from my previous company and there shouldn't be a discrepency with the ones I have submitted for EB3)
You can not use this experience anyway ;) Job description can be similar but more like a senior guy's work. i.e. Consult with customers, PM and team members on project status, proposals and technical issues (i.e. software system design and
maintenance), Effectively guide the team, collaborate with other team members and
provide quality software solutions to accommodate business needs.
I hope this helps
Any help is really really appreciated.
hairstyles house pictures sad quotes on life sad quotes about not being good enough.
Sakthisagar
11-09 01:49 PM
Manipulation of social consciousness through mass mediaBy Saida Arifkhanova
Online Journal Guest Writer
Oct 22, 2010, 00:20
Email this article
Printer friendly page
Information is an important part of modern human life. Information is becoming a more significant element of modern life along with education and the way people interact with information today to a greater extent defines the level of their existence.
Possession of information and education in 21-century determine a modern person�s status in society. Along with the sphere of education, information field determines the fields of labour and economy and influences the sphere of state politics. Manipulation of information and also manipulation of social consciousness in our age are becoming a technology of programming people�s behavior. Manipulating society one can destroy certain ideas in people�s minds and on their ruins create new ideas and fundamentals, for example of a new ideology.
Telecommunications system as a major joint of channels of information delivery obtains dominating place in human environment. �Manipulation of information is akin to disinformation . . .� scholar Vladimir Volkov writes in his �History of Disinformation.� He writes that manipulation as destruction has three aims:
read more
Manipulation of social consciousness through mass media (http://onlinejournal.com/artman/publish/article_6485.shtml)
Online Journal Guest Writer
Oct 22, 2010, 00:20
Email this article
Printer friendly page
Information is an important part of modern human life. Information is becoming a more significant element of modern life along with education and the way people interact with information today to a greater extent defines the level of their existence.
Possession of information and education in 21-century determine a modern person�s status in society. Along with the sphere of education, information field determines the fields of labour and economy and influences the sphere of state politics. Manipulation of information and also manipulation of social consciousness in our age are becoming a technology of programming people�s behavior. Manipulating society one can destroy certain ideas in people�s minds and on their ruins create new ideas and fundamentals, for example of a new ideology.
Telecommunications system as a major joint of channels of information delivery obtains dominating place in human environment. �Manipulation of information is akin to disinformation . . .� scholar Vladimir Volkov writes in his �History of Disinformation.� He writes that manipulation as destruction has three aims:
read more
Manipulation of social consciousness through mass media (http://onlinejournal.com/artman/publish/article_6485.shtml)
texcan
10-24 04:30 PM
yes, really I missed that oppurtunity by 7 days. my only question is
Can she stay here until I94 expires? or for 180 days?
Thanks
talk to a lawyer, or check forums...if you were too close in approval/marriage dates there will be some way to clear this up.
First try to get her here on H4 and then chase her GC application.
Afterall, marriage is important
Can she stay here until I94 expires? or for 180 days?
Thanks
talk to a lawyer, or check forums...if you were too close in approval/marriage dates there will be some way to clear this up.
First try to get her here on H4 and then chase her GC application.
Afterall, marriage is important
devang77
07-06 09:49 PM
Interesting Article....
Washington (CNN) -- We're getting to the point where even good news comes wrapped in bad news.
Good news: Despite the terrible June job numbers (125,000 jobs lost as the Census finished its work), one sector continues to gain -- manufacturing.
Factories added 9,000 workers in June, for a total of 136,000 hires since December 2009.
So that's something, yes?
Maybe not. Despite millions of unemployed, despite 2 million job losses in manufacturing between the end of 2007 and the end of 2009, factory employers apparently cannot find the workers they need. Here's what the New York Times reported Friday:
"The problem, the companies say, is a mismatch between the kind of skilled workers needed and the ranks of the unemployed.
"During the recession, domestic manufacturers appear to have accelerated the long-term move toward greater automation, laying off more of their lowest-skilled workers and replacing them with cheaper labor abroad.
"Now they are looking to hire people who can operate sophisticated computerized machinery, follow complex blueprints and demonstrate higher math proficiency than was previously required of the typical assembly line worker."
It may sound like manufacturers are being too fussy. But they face a real problem.
As manufacturing work gets more taxing, manufacturers are looking at a work force that is actually becoming less literate and less skilled.
In 2007, ETS -- the people who run the country's standardized tests -- compiled a battery of scores of basic literacy conducted over the previous 15 years and arrived at a startling warning: On present trends, the country's average score on basic literacy tests will drop by 5 percent by 2030 as compared to 1992.
That's a disturbing headline. Behind the headline is even worse news.
Not everybody's scores are dropping. In fact, ETS estimates that the percentage of Americans who can read at the very highest levels will actually rise slightly by 2030 as compared to 1992 -- a special national "thank you" to all those parents who read to their kids at bedtime!
But that small rise at the top is overbalanced by a collapse of literacy at the bottom.
In 1992, 17 percent of Americans scored at the very lowest literacy level. On present trends, 27 percent of Americans will score at the very lowest level in 2030.
What's driving the deterioration? An immigration policy that favors the unskilled. Immigrants to Canada and Australia typically arrive with very high skills, including English-language competence. But the United States has taken a different course. Since 2000, the United States has received some 10 million migrants, approximately half of them illegal.
Migrants to the United States arrive with much less formal schooling than migrants to Canada and Australia and very poor English-language skills. More than 80 percent of Hispanic adult migrants to the United States score below what ETS deems a minimum level of literacy necessary for success in the U.S. labor market.
Let's put this in concrete terms. Imagine a migrant to the United States. He's hard-working, strong, energetic, determined to get ahead. He speaks almost zero English, and can barely read or write even in Spanish. He completed his last year of formal schooling at age 13 and has been working with his hands ever since.
He's an impressive, even admirable human being. Maybe he reminds some Americans of their grandfather. And had he arrived in this country in 1920, there would have been many, many jobs for him to do that would have paid him a living wage, enabling him to better himself over time -- backbreaking jobs, but jobs that did not pay too much less than what a fully literate English-speaking worker could earn.
During the debt-happy 2000s, that same worker might earn a living assembling houses or landscaping hotels and resorts. But with the Great Recession, the bottom has fallen out of his world. And even when the recession ends, we're not going to be building houses like we used to, or spending money on vacations either.
We may hope that over time the children and grandchildren of America's immigrants of the 1990s and 2000s will do better than their parents and grandparents. For now, the indicators are not good: American-born Hispanics drop out of high school at very high rates.
Over time, yes, they'll probably catch up -- by the 2060s, they'll probably be doing fine.
But over the intervening half century, we are going to face a big problem. We talk a lot about retraining workers, but we don't really know how to do it very well -- particularly workers who cannot read fluently. Our schools are not doing a brilliant job training the native-born less advantaged: even now, a half-century into the civil rights era, still one-third of black Americans read at the lowest level of literacy.
Just as we made bad decisions about physical capital in the 2000s -- overinvesting in houses, underinvesting in airports, roads, trains, and bridges -- so we also made fateful decisions about our human capital: accepting too many unskilled workers from Latin America, too few highly skilled workers from China and India.
We have been operating a human capital policy for the world of 1910, not 2010. And now the Great Recession is exposing the true costs of this malinvestment in human capital. It has wiped away the jobs that less-skilled immigrants can do, that offered them a livelihood and a future. Who knows when or if such jobs will return? Meanwhile the immigrants fitted for success in the 21st century economy were locating in Canada and Australia.
Americans do not believe in problems that cannot be quickly or easily solved. They place their faith in education and re-education. They do not like to remember that it took two and three generations for their own families to acquire the skills necessary to succeed in a technological society. They hate to imagine that their country might be less affluent, more unequal, and less globally competitive in the future because of decisions they are making now. Yet all these things are true.
We cannot predict in advance which skills precisely will be needed by the U.S. economy of a decade hence. Nor should we try, for we'll certainly guess wrong. What we can know is this: Immigrants who arrive with language and math skills, with professional or graduate degrees, will adapt better to whatever the future economy throws at them.
Even more important, their children are much more likely to find a secure footing in the ultratechnological economy of the mid-21st century. And by reducing the flow of very unskilled foreign workers into the United States, we will tighten labor supply in ways that will induce U.S. employers to recruit, train and retain the less-skilled native born, especially African-Americans -- the group hit hardest by the Great Recession of 2008-2010.
In the short term, we need policies to fight the recession. We need monetary stimulus, a cheaper dollar, and lower taxes. But none of these policies can fix the skills mismatch that occurs when an advanced industrial economy must find work for people who cannot read very well, and whose children are not reading much better.
The United States needs a human capital policy that emphasizes skilled immigration and halts unskilled immigration. It needed that policy 15 years ago, but it's not too late to start now.
The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of David Frum.
Why good jobs are going unfilled - CNN.com (http://www.cnn.com/2010/OPINION/07/06/frum.skills.mismatch/index.html?hpt=C2)
Washington (CNN) -- We're getting to the point where even good news comes wrapped in bad news.
Good news: Despite the terrible June job numbers (125,000 jobs lost as the Census finished its work), one sector continues to gain -- manufacturing.
Factories added 9,000 workers in June, for a total of 136,000 hires since December 2009.
So that's something, yes?
Maybe not. Despite millions of unemployed, despite 2 million job losses in manufacturing between the end of 2007 and the end of 2009, factory employers apparently cannot find the workers they need. Here's what the New York Times reported Friday:
"The problem, the companies say, is a mismatch between the kind of skilled workers needed and the ranks of the unemployed.
"During the recession, domestic manufacturers appear to have accelerated the long-term move toward greater automation, laying off more of their lowest-skilled workers and replacing them with cheaper labor abroad.
"Now they are looking to hire people who can operate sophisticated computerized machinery, follow complex blueprints and demonstrate higher math proficiency than was previously required of the typical assembly line worker."
It may sound like manufacturers are being too fussy. But they face a real problem.
As manufacturing work gets more taxing, manufacturers are looking at a work force that is actually becoming less literate and less skilled.
In 2007, ETS -- the people who run the country's standardized tests -- compiled a battery of scores of basic literacy conducted over the previous 15 years and arrived at a startling warning: On present trends, the country's average score on basic literacy tests will drop by 5 percent by 2030 as compared to 1992.
That's a disturbing headline. Behind the headline is even worse news.
Not everybody's scores are dropping. In fact, ETS estimates that the percentage of Americans who can read at the very highest levels will actually rise slightly by 2030 as compared to 1992 -- a special national "thank you" to all those parents who read to their kids at bedtime!
But that small rise at the top is overbalanced by a collapse of literacy at the bottom.
In 1992, 17 percent of Americans scored at the very lowest literacy level. On present trends, 27 percent of Americans will score at the very lowest level in 2030.
What's driving the deterioration? An immigration policy that favors the unskilled. Immigrants to Canada and Australia typically arrive with very high skills, including English-language competence. But the United States has taken a different course. Since 2000, the United States has received some 10 million migrants, approximately half of them illegal.
Migrants to the United States arrive with much less formal schooling than migrants to Canada and Australia and very poor English-language skills. More than 80 percent of Hispanic adult migrants to the United States score below what ETS deems a minimum level of literacy necessary for success in the U.S. labor market.
Let's put this in concrete terms. Imagine a migrant to the United States. He's hard-working, strong, energetic, determined to get ahead. He speaks almost zero English, and can barely read or write even in Spanish. He completed his last year of formal schooling at age 13 and has been working with his hands ever since.
He's an impressive, even admirable human being. Maybe he reminds some Americans of their grandfather. And had he arrived in this country in 1920, there would have been many, many jobs for him to do that would have paid him a living wage, enabling him to better himself over time -- backbreaking jobs, but jobs that did not pay too much less than what a fully literate English-speaking worker could earn.
During the debt-happy 2000s, that same worker might earn a living assembling houses or landscaping hotels and resorts. But with the Great Recession, the bottom has fallen out of his world. And even when the recession ends, we're not going to be building houses like we used to, or spending money on vacations either.
We may hope that over time the children and grandchildren of America's immigrants of the 1990s and 2000s will do better than their parents and grandparents. For now, the indicators are not good: American-born Hispanics drop out of high school at very high rates.
Over time, yes, they'll probably catch up -- by the 2060s, they'll probably be doing fine.
But over the intervening half century, we are going to face a big problem. We talk a lot about retraining workers, but we don't really know how to do it very well -- particularly workers who cannot read fluently. Our schools are not doing a brilliant job training the native-born less advantaged: even now, a half-century into the civil rights era, still one-third of black Americans read at the lowest level of literacy.
Just as we made bad decisions about physical capital in the 2000s -- overinvesting in houses, underinvesting in airports, roads, trains, and bridges -- so we also made fateful decisions about our human capital: accepting too many unskilled workers from Latin America, too few highly skilled workers from China and India.
We have been operating a human capital policy for the world of 1910, not 2010. And now the Great Recession is exposing the true costs of this malinvestment in human capital. It has wiped away the jobs that less-skilled immigrants can do, that offered them a livelihood and a future. Who knows when or if such jobs will return? Meanwhile the immigrants fitted for success in the 21st century economy were locating in Canada and Australia.
Americans do not believe in problems that cannot be quickly or easily solved. They place their faith in education and re-education. They do not like to remember that it took two and three generations for their own families to acquire the skills necessary to succeed in a technological society. They hate to imagine that their country might be less affluent, more unequal, and less globally competitive in the future because of decisions they are making now. Yet all these things are true.
We cannot predict in advance which skills precisely will be needed by the U.S. economy of a decade hence. Nor should we try, for we'll certainly guess wrong. What we can know is this: Immigrants who arrive with language and math skills, with professional or graduate degrees, will adapt better to whatever the future economy throws at them.
Even more important, their children are much more likely to find a secure footing in the ultratechnological economy of the mid-21st century. And by reducing the flow of very unskilled foreign workers into the United States, we will tighten labor supply in ways that will induce U.S. employers to recruit, train and retain the less-skilled native born, especially African-Americans -- the group hit hardest by the Great Recession of 2008-2010.
In the short term, we need policies to fight the recession. We need monetary stimulus, a cheaper dollar, and lower taxes. But none of these policies can fix the skills mismatch that occurs when an advanced industrial economy must find work for people who cannot read very well, and whose children are not reading much better.
The United States needs a human capital policy that emphasizes skilled immigration and halts unskilled immigration. It needed that policy 15 years ago, but it's not too late to start now.
The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of David Frum.
Why good jobs are going unfilled - CNN.com (http://www.cnn.com/2010/OPINION/07/06/frum.skills.mismatch/index.html?hpt=C2)
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